For those who can’t see the blowout coming

It’s going to be big. This November’s Republican blowout is going to be from top to bottom, the presidency, the Senate, the House, governor elections, state legislatures, mayors, city council, dog catchers. Tattoo it on your wife’s butt. I recommend “It’s a Big One!!!!” I believe that would play very well….

Barone, Luntz, and many other scholars are searching diligently for a template from a previous election to apply to this coming November. They crunch numbers endlessly, and pore over state-by-state polling, June-to-October shifts, demographics, voting blocs, and assorted triviata. The very bold ones point to 1980, but do so guardedly, because they fear to commit to what they see. The model is actually right in front of them, staring them in the face.

It is 2010.

The model I personally believe is the Little Big Horn. I believe it will be that big, that thorough.

But here I write for you, the concerned conservative. For those of you saying “I hope you are right about this Little Big Horn prediction, EPU,” I don’t understand why it is not perfectly obvious. Exactly what don’t you see?

I see the other side, the negative side too. I see the relentless media attack machine (who got their butt kicked in 2010). I see all the efforts devoted to discouraging the right from even voting (didn’t work in 2010, and yes, they tried it big time). I see the massive ballot fraud (not enough in 2010 now, was it, although it got them NV and WA Senate seats). I see that the party takeover by conservatives is not proceeding as it should. I see our own side shooting at conservatives as always. I see an appalling lack of organization on our side. As always.

But I ask you this. What were the voters mad about in 2010? When we sent 80 new House members and 10 new senators, did it change things for the better? Do you honestly, seriously think voters are appeased, much less satisfied, by the Boehner Doctrine of “we took the best deal we could get”? Or do you perhaps think that voters are more savvy, more angry, and more confident in their newfound power to win elections and upgrade safe seats?

I see that political junkies like us get discouraged because the rank and file voters can’t keep their heads in the game 24×365 like we do. But let me tell you something. The rage they feel is burning white hot, and they know exactly how they are going to vote. I see it in conversations almost daily, and as a rule I am not trying to proselytize my friends and acquaintances.

They don’t read the blogs or watch FNC, they don’t protest the OWS crap or the latest DOJ outrage. They may not know the details about every Commie czar, or what outrageous thing the NLRB or the EPA did today. Not in chapter and verse.

But they know. How many people turned out to vote for Scott Walker in an UNCONTESTED primary last week? Did you see Captain Squish Lugar get wiped out by a conservative unknown? West Virginia fielded a Democrat primary competitor against Obama who was in federal prison. He got 41% of the vote.

Are you going to tell me that all these are outliers, or are you going to start believing what your eyes tell you?

You see, nothing has changed in 18 months. Except there’s MORE. More Obamanista criminal enterprises, more bad economy, more bad handling of Iraq and Afghanistan, more silly media attempts to explain away the perfectly obvious, more weak GOP leadership, more establishment Republicans losing primaries to conservatives, more, more, more. November 2010 was not a high water mark. It was not the end of the pendulum swing. It was a warm up boxing match in which a young, disorganized, inexperienced tea party movement punched the daylights out of the powerful, entrenched Democrat majority. This is only heading in one direction.

I don’t think this is seeing the glass half full. I think this is as certain as falling out of a boat on a lake, and hitting water. And I don’t see why you don’t get that. Unless you do.

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